Inflation

On 9th May, the Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee again voted to maintain interest rates at 5.25%. Notably, the vote was split (7 to 2) with a minority of MPC members voting for a rate cut to 5.00%. Read our thoughts here on the latest decision and the updated economic forecasts.

Summarising this month’s investment view, Shweta Singh, Chief Economist, and Ross Barr, Senior Investment Strategist, commented: “Recently, equity markets have been paring back their year-to-date gains but, we think there is a short-term window where positive market performance from equities can resume before growth slows more meaningfully.

Shweta Singh, Senior Economist, shared our thoughts:

Recent labour market and inflation data, which show labour market rebalancing and inflationary pressures easing have just proven sufficient for the Bank of England to ‘wait and see’ how inflation trends continue to develop through the Autumn. Shweta Singh, Chief Economist, shares her thoughts on the latest interest rate decision.

Summarising this month’s investment view, Shweta Singh, Chief Economist at Cardano, commented: “Economic data in the US has been more resilient than expected, leading to upward revisions to the near-term growth outlook, but we think there is room for disappointment.  

Slowing growth and persistent inflationary pressures paint a bleak picture for H2 2023. Read our latest macroeconomic commentary here from the multi-asset team.

The Bank of England’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) accelerated the pace of its hiking cycle raising interest rates by 0.50% to 5.00% at the June meeting. Shweta Singh, Chief Economist, shares her thoughts here.

The ECB raised the policy interest rates by another 25bps at the June meeting. Our Chief Economist, Shweta Singh, shares her thoughts.